Kwikota yokuqala, imakethe ye-aniline yehla yenyuka, futhi intengo yenyanga ejwayelekile yenyuka kancane kancane. Uma sibheka imakethe yaseNyakatho China njengesibonelo, iphuzu eliphansi kakhulu ngaphakathi kwekota lavela ngoJanuwari, ngentengo ku-9550 yuan/ton, kanti iphuzu eliphakeme kakhulu lavela ngoMashi, ngentengo ku-13300 yuan/ton, kanti umehluko wentengo phakathi kwentengo ephezulu nephansi wawungu-3750 yuan/ton. Isici esihle esiyinhloko sokwanda kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuMashi savela ohlangothini lokuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, kwikota yokuqala, amafektri amakhulu asekhaya anakekelwa kakhulu kanti impahla yemboni yayiphansi. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukubuyiselwa kwesidingo sokugcina ngemuva koMkhosi waseNtwasahlobo kwaveza ukwesekwa okuhle kwemakethe.

Ukusebenza kokuphakelwa kuyaqhubeka nokusekela amanani e-aniline akhuphukayo

Kwikota yokuqala, ukusebenza kokunikezwa kwe-aniline emakethe kuyaqhubeka nokuba nzima ukuze kukhushulwe intengo. Ngemuva koSuku Lonyaka Omusha, isidingo samasheya angaphambi kweholide siyanda, uhlangothi lokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo luyakha, intengo yaqala ukubonakala iphansi. Ngemuva koMkhosi WaseNtwasahlobo, ukulungiswa kwemishini ye-aniline yasekhaya kwanda. NgoFebhuwari, umthwalo ophelele embonini ye-aniline yasekhaya wawungu-62.05%, wehle ngamaphesenti angu-15.05 kusukela ngoJanuwari. Ngemva kokungena ngoMashi, isidingo sokugcina sabuya kahle. Nakuba umthwalo wezimboni wabuya wafika ku-74.15%, uhlangothi lokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo lusanikeza ukwesekwa okusobala emakethe, kanti intengo ye-aniline yasekhaya yakhuphuka kakhulu ngoMashi. Kusukela ngomhlaka-31 Mashi, intengo yemakethe evamile ye-aniline eNyakatho China yayingu-13250 yuan/ton, uma kuqhathaniswa no-9650 yuan/ton ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari, ukwanda okuhlangene okungu-3600 yuan/ton, ukwanda okungu-37.3%.

Ukukhishwa kwamandla amasha okwehla komfula ukuhlinzekwa kwe-aniline kuyaqhubeka nokuba kuncane

Kwikota yokuqala ka-2023, ukukhiqizwa kwe-aniline yasekhaya kwakungamathani angaba ngu-754,100, okwanda ngo-8.3% kwikota ngayinye kanye no-1.48% ngonyaka ngamunye. Naphezu kokwanda kokutholakala, iyunithi ye-MDI engamathani angu-400,000 ngonyaka yaseWanhua esifundazweni saseFujian esingezansi komfula yaqala ukusebenza ngoDisemba 2022, eyashintsha kancane kancane yaba yinto evamile ngemva kwekota yokuqala. Phakathi naleso sikhathi, iyunithi ye-cyclohexylamine engamathani angu-70,000 ngonyaka yaseWanhua eYantai yaqala ukusebenza ngoMashi. Ngemva kokuba amandla okukhiqiza amasha eqalisiwe, isidingo se-aniline yezinto zokusetshenziswa ezingezansi komfula sanda kakhulu. Okwaholela kwikota yokuqala yemakethe ye-aniline iyonke sisesesimweni sokutholakala okuncane, bese kuba nokusekelwa okuqinile kwentengo.

Ukushaqeka kwentengo kunamandla kakhulu kwikota yokuqala inzuzo yemboni ye-aniline ikhuphuke kancane kancane

Inzuzo ye-aniline yekota yokuqala ibonise ukuthambekela kokukhula okuqhubekayo. Kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuMashi, uma sibheka iMpumalanga China njengesibonelo, inzuzo ejwayelekile yamabhizinisi e-aniline yasekhaya yayingu-2,404 yuan/ton, yehle ngo-20.87% ngenyanga kanye no-21.97% ngonyaka. Kwikota yokuqala, ngenxa yokuntuleka kokunikezwa emakethe ye-aniline yasekhaya, intengo ngokusobala yasekelwa yigebe lentengo elikhulayo ngemikhiqizo engezansi, futhi inzuzo yemboni yalungiswa kancane kancane ngesikhathi esifanayo. Njengoba isidingo semakethe yasekhaya neyezokuthumela kwamanye amazwe se-aniline kwikota yokuqala kanye nekota yesine ka-2022 sasisihle, inzuzo yemboni yanda kakhulu. Ngakho-ke, inzuzo ye-aniline kwikota yokuqala ka-2023 yehla ngokulandelana.

Isidingo sasekhaya sanda futhi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwehle kakhulu kwikota yokuqala

Ngokusho kwedatha yamasiko kanye nokulinganisa kolwazi lweZhuo Chuang, ukuthunyelwa kwe-aniline yasekhaya okuhlanganisiwe kwikota yokuqala ka-2023 kulindeleke ukuthi kube cishe amathani angu-40,000, noma kwehle ngo-1.3% kwikota edlule, noma kwehle ngo-53.97% unyaka nonyaka. Nakuba ukukhiqizwa kwe-aniline yasekhaya kugcine ukuthambekela okwandayo kwikota yokuqala, ukuthunyelwa kwe-aniline kwikota yokuqala kungabonisa ukwehla okuncane kwikota edlule ngenxa yokwanda okusobala kwesidingo sasekhaya kanye nokungabi nanzuzo ecacile entengo yemakethe yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe. Uma kuqhathaniswa nekota yokuqala ka-2022, ngenxa yokwanda okusobala kwezinto zokusetshenziswa eYurophu kwikota yokuqala ka-2022, ingcindezi yezindleko zabakhiqizi be-aniline bendawo yanda, futhi isidingo sokungenisa imikhiqizo ye-aniline evela eShayina sanda kakhulu. Ngaphansi kwenzuzo esobala yentengo yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, abakhiqizi be-aniline basekhaya babethambekele kakhulu ekuthumeleni kwamanye amazwe. Ngokukhululwa kwamandla okukhiqiza amasha angaphansi eShayina, ukuthambekela kokunikezwa okuncane kwezinsiza zasekhaya ze-aniline kuzoba sobala kakhulu. Kulindeleke ukuthi imakethe yokuthumela kwamanye amazwe kwikota yesibili ingase iqhubeke nezinga eliphansi uma kutholakala ukunikezwa okuncane.

Ikota yesibili kulindeleke ukusebenza kokushaqeka okubuthakathaka kwebanga

Kwikota yesibili, imakethe ye-aniline kulindeleke ukuthi ishintshe. Ekupheleni kukaMashi intengo ye-aniline ifinyelele esigabeni esiphezulu, ukungqubuzana kwezimpahla ezansi kutholakele, ingozi enkulu yemakethe yanda ngo-Ephreli yaqala ukwehla ngokushesha okukhulu. Esikhathini esifushane nesiphakathi, iyunithi ye-aniline iqale kabusha kancane kancane ukukhiqiza futhi isondela ekuthwaleni okugcwele, futhi uhlangothi lokunikezwa kwemakethe luvame ukuba lukhululekile. Nakuba iHuatai ihlela ukwenza ukuhlolwa nokulungiswa ngo-Ephreli, iFuqiang neJinling bahlela ukwenza ukuhlolwa nokulungiswa ngoMeyi, ngemva kukaMeyi, imboni yamathayi agcina ingena esikhathini sokuphumula, okunciphisa kakhulu isidingo sezinsiza zenjoloba ezansi kwe-aniline, kanti uhlangothi lokunikezwa nokufunwa kwemakethe ye-aniline luzoncipha kancane kancane. Kusukela ekuthambekeleni kwezinto zokusetshenziswa, nakuba intengo ye-benzene emsulwa ne-nitric acid isaqinile, kodwa ngoba inzuzo yamanje yemboni ye-aniline isacebile, ngakho-ke uhlangothi lwezindleko luzokhuphuka noma lulinganiselwe. Ngokuvamile, kwikota yesibili, ngaphansi kwesizinda sokunikezwa nokufunwa okubuthakathaka, imakethe ye-aniline yasekhaya ingasebenzisa lonke uhla lokuguquguquka.