Namuhla, imakethe kawoyela ongahluziwe yamazwe ngamazwe ikhathazeke kakhulu ngomhlangano we-federal reserve ngo-July 25. Ngo-July 21, u-bernanke, usihlalo we-federal reserve, wathi: “Inhlangano ephakelayo izokhuphula izinga lenzalo ngamaphuzu angu-25 emhlanganweni olandelayo; okungenzeka kube okokugcina ngoJulayi.” Eqinisweni, lokhu kuhambisana nokulindelwe yimakethe, futhi amathuba okukhuphuka kwamaphuzu angu-25 kumazinga enzalo akhuphukele ku-99.6%, ikakhulukazi isixhumanisi esipikili.

Uhlu lwe-Fed rate hike progress

Kusukela ngo-March 2022, i-Federal Reserve ikhuphule inzalo izikhathi ezingu-10 zilandelana iqoqe amaphuzu angu-500, futhi kusukela ngoJuni kuya kuNovemba wonyaka odlule, izinga lenzalo ezine ezilandelanayo likhuphuke ngamaphuzu angama-75, ngalesi sikhathi, inkomba yedola ikhuphuke ngo-9% , kuyilapho amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe we-WTI ehle ngo-10.5%. Isu lonyaka lokwenyuka kwezinga lilinganiselwe, kusukela ngomhlaka-20 Julayi, inkomba yedola engu-100.78, yehle ngo-3.58% kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka, ibe ngaphansi kwezinga elingaphambi kokwenyuka kwezinga elinonya langonyaka odlule. Ngokombono wokusebenza kwamasonto onke kwenkomba yedola, ukuthambekela kuye kwaqina ezinsukwini ezimbili ezedlule ukuze kuphinde kutholakale i-100+.

Ngokwemininingwane yokwehla kwamandla emali, i-cpi yehle yaya ku-3% ngoJuni, yehla ngomhlaka-11 ngoMashi, okuphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoMashi 2021. Yehle isuka ku-9.1% ephezulu yaya esimweni esifiseleka kakhulu ngonyaka odlule, futhi i-feed iyaqhubeka nokuqiniswa kwezimali. Inqubomgomo ipholise ngempela umnotho oshisa kakhulu, yingakho imakethe iye yaqagela kaningi ukuthi i-feed izoyeka ukukhulisa amanani enzalo.

Inkomba yentengo ye-PCE eyinhloko, ekhumula izindleko zokudla namandla, iyisilinganiso sokwehla kwamandla emali esiyintandokazi ye-Fed ngoba izikhulu ze-Fed zibona i-PCE ewumgogodla njengemele kakhulu izitayela eziyisisekelo. Inkomba yentengo ye-PCE eyinhloko e-United States yabhala izinga lonyaka lamaphesenti angu-4.6 ngoMeyi, namanje lisezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu, futhi izinga lokukhula laliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngoJanuwari kulo nyaka. I-Fed isabhekene nezinselelo ezine: indawo yokuqala ephansi yokwenyuka kwenani lokuqala, izimo zezimali ezixegayo kunalokho obekulindelwe, usayizi wokuvuselela kwezimali, kanye nezinguquko ekusebenziseni nasekusetshenzisweni kwemali ngenxa yalolu bhubhane. Futhi imakethe yemisebenzi isashisa kakhulu, futhi i-Fed izofuna ukubona ibhalansi yesidingo sokuhlinzeka emakethe yemisebenzi ithuthuka ngaphambi kokumemezela ukunqoba ekulweni nokwehla kwamandla emali. Ngakho-ke kungesinye sezizathu ezenza i-Fed ingayeki ukunyusa amanani okwamanje.

Manje njengoba ingozi yokuwohloka komnotho e-United States yehle kakhulu, imakethe ilindele ukuthi ukwehla komnotho kube kuncane, futhi imakethe yabela izimpahla ukuze kuhlale phansi kancane. Umhlangano wesilinganiso senzalo weFederal Reserve ngoJulayi 26 uzoqhubeka nokugxila emathubeni amanje okwenyuka kwamaphuzu angama-25, okuzokhuphula inkomba yedola futhi kunqande amanani kawoyela.