Imakethe iyaqhubeka nokungabaza ukuqaliswa kokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa ngokuzithandela kwe-OPEC+, futhi amanani kawoyela wamazwe ngamazwe ehlile izinsuku eziyisithupha zokusebenza zilandelana, kodwa ukwehla kuye kwehla. Kusukela ngoDisemba 7, i-WTI crude oil futures $69.34 / umphongolo, i-Brent crude oil futures $74.05 / umphongolo, zombili zehle kakhulu kusukela ngoJuni 28.

Amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe emhlabeni wonke ehle kakhulu kuleli sonto, kusukela ngoDisemba 7, i-WTI crude oil futures yehle ngo-10.94% kusukela ngoNovemba 29, i-Brent crude oil futures yehle ngo-10.89% esikhathini esifanayo. Ngemuva komhlangano we-OPEC+, ukungabaza kwemakethe mayelana nokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa ngokuzithandela kwaqhubeka nokubila, okwaba yisici esiyinhloko esithinta amanani kawoyela. Okwesibili, izinqolobane zemikhiqizo ehlungiwe e-United States ziyanda, futhi umbono wesidingo sikaphethiloli usalokhu uphansi, okubeka ingcindezi emananini kawoyela. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngoDisemba 7, i-United States ikhiphe idatha yezomnotho exubile, i-China Customs ikhiphe ukungeniswa kukawoyela ongahluziwe kanye neminye imininingwane ehlobene, ukuhlolwa kwemakethe komnotho womhlaba kanye nokusebenza kokunikezwa kanye nesidingo, isimo sengqondo sokuqapha sikhulile. Ngokukhethekile:

Inani labantu baseMelika abafaka izicelo zezibonelelo zokungasebenzi lenyuke kancane kunalokho obekulindelwe ngesonto eledlule njengoba isidingo semisebenzi sipholile futhi imakethe yezabasebenzi iqhubeka nokwehla kancane kancane. Izicelo zokuqala zezibonelelo zokungasebenzi zikahulumeni zenyuke ngo-1,000 zaya ku-220,000 ezilungisiwe ngokwesizini ngesonto eliphele ngoDisemba 2, kusho idatha yoMnyango Wezabasebenzi ngoLwesine. Lokho kusho ukuthi imakethe yezabasebenzi iyehla. Umbiko ukhombisile ukuthi bekukhona izikhala zemisebenzi ezingu-1.34 kumuntu ngamunye ongasebenzi ngo-Okthoba, okuyizinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-Agasti 2021. Isidingo sabasebenzi siyaphola kanye nomnotho, sincishiswe ukwanda kwenzalo. Ngakho-ke, ukubikezela kwe-Fed kokuphela kwalesi siwombe sokwenyuka kwenzalo kuphinde kwavela emakethe yezezimali, futhi amathuba okungakhuphuki amazinga enzalo ngoDisemba angaphezu kuka-97%, futhi umthelela wokwenyuka kwenzalo emananini kawoyela uye waba buthaka. Kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukukhathazeka ngomnotho wase-US kanye nesidingo esinciphayo nakho kuye kwanciphisa isimo sokuhweba emakethe yesikhathi esizayo.

Idatha yakamuva ye-EIA ekhishwe kuleli sonto ikhombisa ukuthi ngenkathi izinqolobane zikawoyela ongahluziwe wase-US zehla, uwoyela ongahluziwe waseCushing, uphethiloli, kanye nama-distillates konke kusesimeni sokugcina. Ngesonto likaDisemba 1, izinqolobane zikawoyela ongahluziwe waseCushing eziyizigidi ezingu-29.551 zamabhereli, ukwanda ngo-6.60% kusukela ngesonto eledlule, okwenyuka amasonto ayi-7 alandelanayo. Izinqolobane zikaphethiloli zenyuka amasonto amathathu alandelanayo zaya kumabhareli ayizigidi ezingu-223.604, okwenyuka ngamabhareli ayizigidi ezingu-5.42 kusukela ngesonto eledlule, njengoba ukungeniswa kwempahla kukhuphuka kanye nokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwehla. Amasheya e-distillate akhuphuke ngesonto lesibili elilandelanayo afinyelela kumabhareli ayizigidi ezingu-1120.45, okwenyuka ngamabhareli ayizigidi ezingu-1.27 kusukela ngesonto eledlule, njengoba ukukhiqizwa kukhuphuka kanye nokungeniswa kwempahla okungenayo kukhuphuka. Isidingo esibi sikaphethiloli sikhathaza imakethe, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe wamazwe ngamazwe ayaqhubeka nokwehla.

Bese kuba nemakethe kawoyela ongahluziwe elandelayo, uhlangothi lokunikezela: ukubanjwa komhlangano we-OPEC+ kuyinkemba esika nhlangothi zombili, yize kungekho ukukhushulwa okusobala okuhle, kodwa imingcele ohlangothini lokunikezela isekhona. Njengamanje, iSaudi Arabia, iRussia ne-Algeria banezitatimende ezinhle, bezama ukuguqula isimo sengqondo sokungaguquki, ukusabela kwemakethe okulandelayo kusazobonakala, iphethini yokuqinisa ukunikezwa ayikashintshi; Isidingo sisonke sibi, kunzima ukuthuthuka kakhulu esikhathini esifushane, futhi isidingo semikhiqizo kawoyela ebusika kulindeleke ukuthi sihlale siphansi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, iSaudi Arabia yehlise amanani okuthengisa asemthethweni esifundeni, okubonisa ukuntuleka kokuqiniseka ngesimo sesidingo sase-Asia. Njengamanje, intengo kawoyela yamazwe ngamazwe ibisondele eqophelweni eliphansi kakhulu lokuphela konyaka ngamadola aseMelika angu-71.84/umgqomo ngemuva kokwehla okuqhubekayo, iphuzu eliphansi kakhulu leBrent liseduze namadola aseMelika angu-72, izikhathi ezinhlanu ngaphambi kokuba unyaka uzungeze leli qophelo lokubuyela emuva. Ngakho-ke, amanani kawoyela ayaqhubeka nokwehla noma ancishiswe kakhulu, kukhona ithuba lokubuyela emuva elingaphansi. Ngemva kokwehla okuqhubekayo kwamanani kawoyela, abakhiqizi bakawoyela baveze ukwesekwa kwemakethe, futhi i-OPEC+ ayizichithi izinyathelo ezintsha zokuzinzisa imakethe, futhi amanani kawoyela anethuba lokwehla.