Imakethe isaqhubeka nokungabaza ukuqaliswa kokuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa ngokuzithandela kwe-OPEC+, futhi amanani kawoyela wamazwe ngamazwe ehle izinsuku eziyisithupha zilandelana zokusebenza, kodwa ukwehla kuye kwancipha. Kusukela ngoDisemba 7, ikusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe we-WTI u-$69.34 / umphongolo, ikusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe we-Brent u-$74.05 / umphongolo, womabili ehle kakhulu kusukela ngoJuni 28.

Izintengo zikawoyela ongahluziwe zamazwe ngamazwe zehle kakhulu kuleli sonto, kusukela ngoDisemba 7, ikusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe we-WTI lehle ngo-10.94% kusukela ngoNovemba 29, ikusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe we-Brent lehle ngo-10.89% ngesikhathi esifanayo. Ngemuva komhlangano we-OPEC+, ukungabaza kwemakethe ngokuncishiswa kokukhiqizwa ngokuzithandela kwaqhubeka nokuvutshelwa, okube yisici esiyinhloko esilinganisa amanani kawoyela. Okwesibili, iqoqo lemikhiqizo ecolisisiwe e-United States liyakhula, futhi umbono wokufunwa kukaphethiloli usalokhu ungemuhle, okufaka ingcindezi emananini kawoyela. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngoDisemba 7, i-United States yakhipha idatha yezomnotho exubile, i-China Customs yakhipha ukuthengiswa kukawoyela ongahluziwe kanye neminye imininingwane ehlobene, ukuhlolwa kwemakethe yomnotho womhlaba kanye nokusebenza kokuhlinzekwa nokufunwa, isimo sokuqapha sinyukile. Ngokuqondile:

Isibalo sabantu baseMelika abafaka izicelo zokuthola imihlomulo yokungasebenzi sikhuphuke ngaphansi kwalokhu obekulindelwe ngesonto eledlule njengoba isidingo semisebenzi sehlile futhi nemakethe yezabasebenzi iqhubeka nokwehla kancane kancane. Izimangalo zokuqala zemihlomulo yokungasebenzi zikahulumeni zikhuphuke ngo-1,000 zaya kwezingu-220,000 ezilungiswe ngesizini ngesonto eliphele ngoDisemba 2, idatha yoMnyango Wezabasebenzi yabonisa ngoLwesine. Lokho kuphakamisa ukuthi imakethe yezabasebenzi ihamba kancane. Umbiko uveze ukuthi kube nezikhala zemisebenzi eziyi-1.34 kumuntu ngamunye ongasebenzi ngo-Okthoba, okuyizinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-August 2021. Isidingo sabasebenzi siyaphola kanye nomnotho, okudalwe ukukhuphuka kwamazinga enzalo. Ngakho-ke, ukubikezela kwe-Fed kokuphela kwalo mzuliswano wokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo kuphinde kwavela emakethe yezezimali, futhi amathuba okunganyusi amanani enzalo ngoDisemba angaphezulu kuka-97%, futhi umthelela wokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo kumanani kawoyela uye waba buthaka. . Kepha ngasikhathi sinye, ukukhathazeka ngomnotho wase-US kanye nesidingo esihamba kancane kuphinde kwadambisa isimo sokuhweba emakethe yesikhathi esizayo.

Idatha yakamuva ye-EIA ekhishwe kuleli sonto ikhombisa ukuthi yize uwoyela ongahluziwe wezamabhizinisi wase-US uphansi, uwoyela ongahluziwe waseCushing, uphethiloli, kanye nama-distillates konke kusesimweni sokugcina. Ngesonto likaDisemba 1, i-Cushing inventories kawoyela ongahluziwe wemiphongolo eyizigidi ezingama-29.551, okuwukunyuka ngo-6.60% kusukela ngesonto eledlule, okukhuphuke amasonto ayi-7 alandelanayo. Ukufakwa kukaphethiloli kukhuphuke amasonto amathathu alandelanayo kwafinyelela emiphongolweni eyizigidi ezingama-223.604, kwakhuphuka imiphongolo eyizigidi ezi-5.42 kusukela ngesonto eledlule, njengoba ukuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuka nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwehla. Amasheya e-Distillate akhuphuke ngeviki lesibili eliqondile laya emiphongolweni eyizigidi eziyi-1120.45, akhuphuka imiphongolo eyizigidi eziyi-1.27 kusukela ngesonto eledlule, njengoba ukukhiqizwa kwenyuka futhi ukuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwanda. Isidingo esibi sikaphethiloli sikhathaza imakethe, amanani kawoyela ongahluziwe emhlabeni wonke ayaqhubeka nokwehla.

Bese kuba imakethe kawoyela ongahluziwe elandelayo, uhlangothi lokunikezela: ukubanjwa komhlangano we-OPEC+ kuyinkemba esika nhlangothi zombili, nakuba kungekho ukunyuswa okusobala okuhle, kodwa izingqinamba ngasohlangothini lokunikezela zisekhona. Njengamanje, i-Saudi Arabia, iRussia ne-Algeria inezitatimende ezinhle, izama ukuguqula isimo sengqondo se-bearish, ukusabela kwemakethe okulandelayo kusazobonakala, iphethini yokuqinisa ukuhlinzeka ayizange ishintshe; Isidingo jikelele sibi, kunzima ukuthuthukisa kakhulu esikhathini esifushane, futhi isidingo semikhiqizo kawoyela ebusika kulindeleke ukuthi sihlale siphansi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, iSaudi Arabia yehlise izintengo zokuthengisa ezisemthethweni zesifunda, okubonisa ukuntula ukuzethemba embonweni wesidingo sase-Asia. Njengamanje, intengo kawoyela yamazwe omhlaba isiseduze nephuzu eliphansi kakhulu lokuphela konyaka i-71.84 US dollars / umphongolo ngemuva kokwehla okuqhubekayo, indawo ephansi ye-Brent iseduze ne-72 US dollars, izikhathi ezinhlanu ngaphambi kokuba unyaka uzungeze leli phuzu. bopha kabusha. Ngakho-ke, amanani kawoyela ayaqhubeka nokwehla noma alinganiselwe, kunethuba lokuphuma kabusha. Ngemuva kokwehla okuqhubekayo kwamanani kawoyela, abakhiqizi bakawoyela baye bazwakalisa ukusekela imakethe, futhi i-OPEC + ayizikhiphi izinyathelo ezintsha zokuzinzisa imakethe, futhi amanani kawoyela anethuba lokwehla.