I-International Energy Agency (IEA) ithe ngoLwesithathu ukuthi njengoba umnotho womhlaba uqala ukululama ebhubhaneni elisha le-crown pneumonia, futhi i-OPEC kanye nabalingani bayo bevimbela ukukhiqizwa, isimo sokusabalalisa ngokweqile emakethe kawoyela womhlaba wonke siyancishiswa.

Ngemuva kokuthi i-International Monetary Fund (IMF) iphakamise isibikezelo sayo sokukhula komnotho womhlaba kulo nyaka, i-IEA iphinde yaphakamisa isibikezelo sayo sokululama kwesidingo sikawoyela. Futhi yathi: “Amathemba emakethe athuthukisiwe, kanye nezinkomba zesikhathi sangempela eziqinile, okusishukumisela ukuba siphakamise amathemba ethu okukhula kwesidingo sikawoyela womhlaba wonke ngo-2021.”

I-IEA ibikezela ukuthi ngemuva kokwehla kwama-barrel ayizigidi ezingu-8.7 ngosuku ngonyaka odlule, isidingo sikawoyela emhlabeni wonke sizokhuphuka ngama-barrel ayizigidi ezingu-5.7 ngosuku siye kuma-barrel ayizigidi ezingu-96.7 ngosuku. NgoLwesibili, i-OPEC inyuse isibikezelo sayo sesidingo sika-2021 saya kuma-barrel ayizigidi ezingu-96.5 ngosuku.

Ngonyaka odlule, njengoba amazwe amaningi evala umnotho wawo ukuze kuncishiswe ukusabalala kwalesi sifo, isidingo sikawoyela sathinteka kakhulu. Lokhu kuholele ekuthengisweni ngokweqile, kodwa amazwe e-OPEC+, okuhlanganisa nomkhiqizi kawoyela osindayo eRussia, akhethe ukunciphisa kakhulu umkhiqizo ngenxa yokwehla kwamanani kawoyela. Uyazi, amanani kawoyela ake ehla kakhulu afinyelela emananini aphansi.

Kodwa-ke, lesi simo sokwanda ngokweqile sibonakala sishintshile.

I-IEA ithe idatha yokuqala ibonise ukuthi ngemuva kwezinyanga eziyisikhombisa zilandelana zokwehla kwezitoko zikawoyela ze-OECD, zahlala zizinzile ngoMashi futhi zisondela esilinganisweni seminyaka emihlanu.

Kusukela ekuqaleni kwalonyaka, i-OPEC+ ibilokhu ikhulisa kancane kancane umkhiqizo futhi yathi ekuqaleni kuka-Ephreli ukuthi ngenxa yokukhula kwesidingo okulindelekile, izokwandisa umkhiqizo ngamabhareli angaphezu kwezigidi ezimbili ngosuku ezinyangeni ezintathu ezizayo.

Nakuba ukusebenza kwemakethe kwikota yokuqala bekudumaza kancane, njengoba ubhubhane emazweni amaningi aseYurophu kanye neminotho eminingana emikhulu esafufusa lukhuphuka futhi, njengoba umkhankaso wokugoma uqala ukuba nomthelela, ukukhula kwesidingo somhlaba wonke kulindeleke ukuthi kusheshise.

I-IEA ikholelwa ukuthi imakethe kawoyela yomhlaba wonke izobhekana nezinguquko ezinkulu engxenyeni yesibili yalo nyaka, futhi kungadingeka ukwandisa ukunikezwa kwamabhareli acishe abe yizigidi ezimbili ngosuku ukuze kuhlangatshezwane nokukhula okulindelekile kwesidingo. Kodwa-ke, njengoba i-OPEC+ isenamandla amaningi okukhiqiza ukuze ilulame, i-IEA ayikholelwa ukuthi ukunikezwa kwamafutha okuncane kuzoqhubeka nokuba kubi.

Le nhlangano ithe: “Ukulinganiswa kwanyanga zonke kokuhlinzekwa ku-Eurozone kungenza ukuhlinzekwa kwayo kawoyela kube lula ukuhlangabezana nesidingo esikhulayo. Uma yehluleka ukuhambisana nokubuya kwesidingo ngesikhathi, ukuhlinzekwa kungandiswa ngokushesha noma umkhiqizo ungancishiswa.”