Imakethe yakamuva ye-urea ingachazwa njengekhula ngokuqhubekayo, inkambiso yemakethe ngaphansi kokuqondisa kokukhuphuka kwezindaba zezindaba nokuwa ngokushesha okukhulu, lapho ukusabela okusobala kakhulu kuwukumaka. Ukushayela kwendawo yomlayezo ophrintayo akuthinti nje kuphela inani lemakethe yamanje, kodwa futhi kungena ezingeni lokuhlinzekwa kwasekhaya kanye nesidingo esikhathini esizayo. Kusukela ngomhla ka-15 Agasti, intengo yemakethe ye-Shandong Linyi ku-2550 yuan/ton, imakethe ye-urea ngemva kokubhekana nesitayela samagagasi, kancane kancane ikhuphuke yabuyela ezingeni eliphezulu enyangeni enguhhafu, futhi umkhawulo ophezulu wokukhuphuka nokuwa cishe uhhafu wenyanga ucishe ube ngu-200. i-yuan/ton, umthelela wohlangothi lwemizwa unquma ukuthi ukuntengantenga kwe-urea kwenyukile, imakethe kufanele ihambisane nokuguquguquka komkhathi, Isebenza kanjani indawo yezindaba emakethe?

Ngokukhula komdlalo wezindaba zemakethe, uhlangothi lomzwelo luthatha isisindo esiningi kakhulu ethonyeni lemakethe, futhi amandla asobala kakhulu ukwahlulela komzwelo ngekusasa lemakethe. Lapho izindaba zivutshelwa kancane kancane, isimo sengqondo siba nethemba ngemakethe yesikhathi esizayo, futhi ukusabela kwangaphakathi kohlangothi lokuhlinzeka nokufunwa kuzoba buthaka, futhi ukudluliswa komlayezo wokumaka kuwukusebenza okunembile kakhulu.

Umthelela we-imprint:

I-India ingumthumeli obalulekile we-urea e-China, futhi inani lempahla ethunyelwa e-India lilinganiselwa ku-50% wevolumu yasekhaya yokuthekelisa yonyaka. Ngokusho kwedatha yaminyaka yonke yokuthekelisa yango-2022, inani eliphelele lokuthumela ngaphandle ngo-2022 licishe libe ngamathani ayizigidi ezi-2.83, lapho elokuqala kuseyiNdiya, umthamo wokuthekelisa ungamathani ayizigidi eziyi-1.23 angama-900, okubalelwa ku-43.80% yenani eliphelele lokuthumela ngaphandle. Kunezinhlobo ezimbili zokuthengwa kwempahla e-India: ukuthengwa kwethenda yomhlaba wonke kanye nokuthengwa kwenkontileka yesikhathi eside. Phakathi kwazo, ukubhida komhlaba wonke kanye nokuthengwa kwempahla kuwuphawu lwethu olukhathazeke kakhulu. Isizathu sokuthi kungani umthelela wokubhida uqhubeka ngo-Agasti noSepthemba kungenxa yokusabalala kwamahemuhemu ezimakethe kuze kufike ekuvulweni kwamabhidi e-India, bese kuba ezindabeni zemakethe, futhi ekugcineni kuze kufike umnqamulajuqu wokuthunyelwa. Yonke le nqubo izohambisana nokusatshalaliswa okuqhubekayo kwendawo yezindaba, futhi emakethe yasekhaya yamanje yangaphandle kwesizini, ukuvela kophawu embonini kumakwe njengokuhle, ngakho ukusabela kwemakethe kuzolandela ukushintsha kwezindaba zamaki.

Indima ethize yalokhu kunyathelisa, eyodwa ibonakala enanini, ukubhida kwe-India IPL urea yokungenisa, ithole ingqikithi yabahlinzeki abangama-23, ingqikithi yamathani angu-3.382,500. Intengo ephansi e-East Coast ingu-CFR396 USD/ton, futhi intengo ephansi ogwini oluseNtshonalanga yi-CFR399 USD/ton. Ukufika kwentengo kungathinta ngqo usayizi wesikhala se-arbitrage ekhaya nakwamanye amazwe, futhi intengo yamanje yokuphrinta intengo yefekthri yasekhaya ikhona indawo yokuthekelisa, kodwa ngaphambi kokufika kwentengo, imboni yentengo yokuphrinta inani elilindelekile liphezulu kakhulu, ukuqagela okuningi kufinyelele ku-400 US dollars/ton FOB, ngakho-ke lapho amabhuzu efika, intengo kancane kancane yabuyela ezingeni elinengqondo, imboni enomkhuba okhulayo wokwehla, Inani lesibikezelo semakethe yesikhathi esizayo laba buthaka. , futhi umuzwa wemakethe wehla, futhi amanani e-urea nawo abonisa umjikelezo omncane wokwehla komkhombe ngalesi sikhathi. Okwesibili ukusebenza kwenombolo, futhi intengo iyafana, ngaphambi kokufika kwezindaba, sigcina isimo sengqondo esingcono, futhi izindaba ezivame kakhulu zamahemuhemu embonini mayelana nokuhlinzekwa kweChina zingafinyelela amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.1, izindaba ziholele izolo ikusasa, futhi impendulo enembile kakhulu yenani lokuphrinta ukuhlinzekwa kwasekhaya kanye nesidingo, ekuhlinzekeni kwasekhaya okuphezulu kwaNissan, Ukwenyuka kwenani lokumaka ngokungangabazeki kuzobambezela ukudluliswa kwengcindezi ohlangothini lokuhlinzekwa kwabakhiqizi bamanje. , futhi izintengo zasekhaya zizoletha amaphuzu amasha okusekela, futhi abakhiqizi bakhuphule ukunikezwa kwabo.

Nakuba izindaba zokumaka zinikeza imakethe amandla athile ngasohlangothini lwemizwa, izingozi azikakwazi ukuzitshwa. Okokuqala nje, ukunikezwa kwamazwe ngamazwe kuzobhekana nethuba lokukhula ngemva kokuphela kohlelo lokumaka lokuthunyelwa kwemikhumbi, futhi ukuguquguquka kwamanani omhlaba akwaziwa. Okwesibili, amandla amasha okukhiqiza asekhaya azofakwa engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka. Ezohwebo lwasekhaya, ingcindezi ohlangothini lokuhlinzeka iyavela kancane kancane, futhi ukwesekwa kokuthekelisa kungaxhunyaniswa kahle nezolimo zikakolweni wasekwindla. Kuyinto ebalulekile ukugxila kuyo. Okwesithathu, umthelela wezinto eziningi ezifana nezinqubomgomo zikazwelonke awukanqunywa, futhi izici ezifana nesikhathi sokuhlolwa okusemthethweni namandla okuthunyelwa kwemikhumbi yasekhaya nawo kudingeka aqaphe.

Sekukonke, imakethe isekelwa umthelela wokuphrinta nezinye zesikhathi esifushane, futhi intengo isenayo indawo ephezulu yokusebenza, kodwa ingozi yemakethe yesikhathi esizayo ihlala njalo, futhi kuyadingeka ukunaka ukuguquguquka kwendawo yezindaba. .